BAM, another winner and back-to-back MLB parlay hits, bringing our winning streak to six. It’s a Monday edition of our MLB parlay picks, as we approach the all-start break. With Saturday’s sweep, our seasonal record stands at 35-25 ATS.
All our followers know we target games that are seeing respected money and, more precisely, reverse line movements. We have another three selections on tap for you today and some additional leans that we like based on the line movement. The betting lines discussed are the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
MLB Parlay Leg #1: Pittsburgh Pirates ML -110
Leading us off our MLB parlay picks once again will be the Pittsburgh Pirates over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Pirates have been good to us in the previous two parlays. The sharps are on them once again tonight. St. Louis is seeing nearly 60% of the money bets, and yet the books have moved the Pirates from a +126 underdog to a slight favorite as of this writing.
Pittsburgh has won three straight games overall and is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at PNC Park. Despite the Cardinals’ strong ATS numbers on the road of late, we are siding with the sharps tonight. Pittsburgh Pirates money line for play number one!
MLB Parlay Leg #2: Cincinnati Reds ML +144
In the middle of today’s MLB parlay picks will be the Cincinnati Reds over the Boston Red Sox. The Reds are another sharp play we spotted. We have another reverse line movement with Boston getting 56% of the money bets, and yet the books keep dropping the number. Cincinnati opened up as a +193 underdog, and they are now down to +144. The Reds are 7-3 SU in the last 10 games at home and 6-4 in the last 10 as an underdog. Boston is just 3-7 in their last 10 overall and lost five straight on the road. Cincinnati Reds money line for play number two!
MLB Parlay Leg #3: Philadelphia Phillies Alternate TT over 4.5 -158
Our followers know by now that we like to target the team total over of heavy betting favorites. The Phillies are the biggest chalk on tonight’s MLB betting card. The final play for tonight’s MLB parlay picks will be the Phillies’ alternate team total over 4.5 runs. Philadelphia averages just under five runs per game, and the Padres have allowed 27 runs in their last six games. San Diego is recalling Shane Waldron from the minors to start tonight, and we expect the Phillies to do well offensively. Waldorn sports a career ERA approaching five runs per game. Phillies alternate team total over 4.5 runs for play number three!
Additional Leans: Athletics ML, Blue Jays ML
Final Thoughts:
The beauty of our MLB parlays is that we can provide our followers with three individual plays. We will play these picks SU because the hit rate on a three-team parlay is about 6-1, not a long-term profitable betting strategy. Nailing the parlay is simply icing on the cake. We avoid public plays, which tend to be the betting favorites. Please follow us on X and Facebook as the MLB season continues toward the Fall Classic. Let’s keep stacking the winning days and get three winners, and remember: Follow or Fade!
Parlay Odds: +728
*Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change*
