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MLB

New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Preview, Prediction and Odds | April 1, 2025

New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds and preview
Mar 30, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (13) celebrates with third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera (95) after defeating the Milwaukee Brewers at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

This New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks preview will look at Game 1 on Tuesday of a 3-game series in the House That Ruth Built. The Bronx Bombers have started off a perfect 3-0 record, while the Diamondbacks are 2-2 after splitting a 4-game Home series with the Cubs. New Arizona ace Corbin Burnes will get the ball against Yankees RHP Will Warren. New York has scored 36 runs in its first 3 games and blasted 15 home runs.

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds

Team Money Line Total Run Line
Diamondbacks -110 8.5o +100 -1.5 +146
Yankees -106 8.5u -122 +1.5 -178
**Odds Subject to Change**

Game Details

  • Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Yankees
  • Date and Time: Tuesday, April 1, 2025, 7:05 EDT/6:05 CDT/4:05 PDT
  • Location: Yankee Stadium (Kentucky Bluegrass), Bronx, New York
  • TV: TBS

Key Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks are scheduled to start ace RHP Corbin Burnes (15-9, 2.92 ERA, 1.10 WHIP in 2024). Burnes (16/1 to win the 2025 NL Cy Young Award, FanDuel) is 0-2 lifetime vs the Yankees in 3 appearances with 22 strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA. Burnes will be making his first-ever start for Arizona after pitching for Baltimore last season and signing a 6-year, $210 million contract with the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona’s lifetime is 15-20 vs New York in the Regular Season. Leading the charge for the Snakes at the plate this season are Josh Naylor (.400 BA, .500 OBP), Eugenio Suárez (.286, 4 HR, 7 RBI), Ketel Marte (.333, 6 hits), and Geraldo Pedramo (.333). Arizona went 24-22 in Interleague play last season.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks are 4-13 lifetime at Yankee Stadium
  • Arizona is 5-5 in the last 10 series meetings overall 
  • The Over is 3-1-1 in the Diamondbacks’ first 4 games this season
  • The Over has won 69 times in the last 106 Arizona games (+32.10 Units, 27% ROI)

New York Yankees

The Yankees are scheduled to start RHP Will Warren (0-3, 10.32 ERA, 1.90 WHIP in 2024) in this series opener in the Bronx. So, if this looks like a pitching mismatch on paper, it is. Warren is the Yankees’ 5th starter in the rotation and wouldn’t be in that spot had there not been injuries to three players in the team’s rotation.

Ace Gerrit Cole, 2024 AL Rookie of the Year Luis Gil, and Clarke Schmidt all have injury issues, so this team will have to try to outscore opponents. And that’s exactly what New York is trying to do with many of them using torpedo bats. Slugger Aaron Judge (.545 BA, 4 HR, 11 RBI), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (.417/3/6), Paul Goldschmidt (.417), and Cody Bellinger (.400) are all off to tremendous starts but will face a tough task in getting to the somewhat familiar Burnes.

Yankees Betting Trends

  • New York went 2-1 vs Arizona last season
  • The Yankees tied an MLB record with 15 HRs in their first 3 games 
  • New York is averaging 12.0 RPG (36 runs in 3 games)
  • The Yankees were 23-23 in Interleague play last season

Prediction

Besides the torpedo bats, there are a few reasons why the New York Yankees scored so many runs over the weekend. The weather was warm, the wind was blowing out (20 mph), the opposition’s pitching was rancid, and they were Day games. Here it will be a Night game and cooler (51°), the winds not as brisk (11 mph), and the opposing pitcher is a stud. All that being said, the Home team will still have torpedo bats, be averaging 12.0 RPG, and its pitcher could give up a decent number of runs.

Although in limited action, a 0-3 record with a 10.32 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP screams runs will be scored. And Yankee Stadium is a very small ballpark, smaller down the lines than many high school fields, with 318 feet down the left field line and 314 feet down that short porch right field line. It’s hard to see Burnes going the distance, so New York may get ABs vs. relievers, and Warren should allow 5 runs and will likely not last too long in this situation.

Final Pick

Over -8.5 +100